Pre-tourney Rankings
Big South
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
122 UNC Asheville 100.0%   15   21 - 9 16 - 2 21 - 9 16 - 2 +3.1      +5.1 55 -2.0 231 73.5 47 +2.8 137 +5.9 1
184 Charleston Southern 0.0%   16 - 12 11 - 7 16 - 12 11 - 7 -1.1      +1.1 140 -2.2 243 76.5 25 -1.8 196 -3.1 4
206 Coastal Carolina 0.0%   15 - 11 12 - 6 15 - 11 12 - 6 -2.1      -0.3 176 -1.8 227 64.6 251 -1.6 195 -0.5 2
235 High Point 0.0%   11 - 18 8 - 10 11 - 18 8 - 10 -4.4      +1.8 122 -6.3 318 64.7 242 -6.5 268 -6.0 7
245 Campbell 0.0%   16 - 15 11 - 7 16 - 15 11 - 7 -4.8      +0.2 163 -5.1 301 72.5 61 -3.0 213 -1.7 3
253 Presbyterian 0.0%   13 - 15 8 - 10 13 - 15 8 - 10 -5.4      -0.1 172 -5.3 308 57.3 332 -5.1 248 -6.3 8
264 Winthrop 0.0%   10 - 20 8 - 10 10 - 20 8 - 10 -6.0      -6.4 306 +0.4 159 61.8 295 -7.1 279 -6.5 9
273 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   10 - 20 6 - 12 10 - 20 6 - 12 -6.4      -5.6 296 -0.8 198 65.8 214 -7.9 286 -8.7 10
281 VMI 0.0%   14 - 16 8 - 10 14 - 16 8 - 10 -6.9      -0.6 186 -6.4 321 84.9 4 -5.4 254 -6.0 6
285 Liberty 0.0%   11 - 18 9 - 9 11 - 18 9 - 9 -7.3      -1.7 227 -5.5 314 66.3 201 -6.8 272 -4.3 5
313 Radford 0.0%   4 - 26 2 - 16 4 - 26 2 - 16 -11.2      -9.0 332 -2.2 241 66.6 194 -14.9 329 -16.3 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
UNC Asheville 1.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 3.0 100.0
Coastal Carolina 2.0 100.0
High Point 6.0 100.0
Campbell 3.0 100.0
Presbyterian 6.0 100.0
Winthrop 6.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 10.0 100.0
VMI 6.0 100.0
Liberty 5.0 100.0
Radford 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
UNC Asheville 16 - 2 100.0
Charleston Southern 11 - 7 100.0
Coastal Carolina 12 - 6 100.0
High Point 8 - 10 100.0
Campbell 11 - 7 100.0
Presbyterian 8 - 10 100.0
Winthrop 8 - 10 100.0
Gardner-Webb 6 - 12 100.0
VMI 8 - 10 100.0
Liberty 9 - 9 100.0
Radford 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
UNC Asheville 100.0% 100.0
Charleston Southern
Coastal Carolina
High Point
Campbell
Presbyterian
Winthrop
Gardner-Webb
VMI
Liberty
Radford


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
UNC Asheville 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.0 0.4 44.7 54.9
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
UNC Asheville 100.0% 12.9% 94.3% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coastal Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
VMI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liberty 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.3% 0.9 5.7 94.3
2nd Round 5.9% 0.1 94.1 5.9
Sweet Sixteen 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0